Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2681
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2681 · TOL → PIE
departs 11:01 AM ET · arrives 1:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave TOL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TOL
↓
TOL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TOL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.