Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2694 · PIE → USA
departs 1:47 PM ET · arrives 3:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at USA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at USA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to USA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from PIE are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at USA that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
USA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
USA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.