Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 269
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 269 · PGD → AVL
departs 9:42 PM ET · arrives 11:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −25 pts in 24h
−25 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from PGD are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.21 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.