Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2711
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2711 · TUL → PIE
departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.