G4 2718 · EYW → PIE

took off 9:10 AM ET · landed 9:57 AM ET (scheduled 9:23 AM ET → 10:43 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ EYW is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from EYW are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into PIE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EYW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2718 · EYW → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?