Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2728 · JAX → BLV
departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 4:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at BLV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BLV?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.66 in
BLV (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.