G4 2757 · SRQ → PIT

departs 4:16 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from SRQ are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SRQ (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

PIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2757 · SRQ → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?