G4 2801 · MYR → CAK

departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 4:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CAK more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAK?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into CAK at that hour are often late

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CAK

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip3.56 in

CAK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2801 · MYR → CAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAK?