Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2848
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2848 · SFB → EYW
departs 11:32 AM ET · arrives 12:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 17%
Sat 10/10 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at EYW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EYW?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
EYW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.