G4 2868 · LCK → EYW

took off 6:42 PM ET · expected to land 9:08 PM ET (scheduled 6:38 PM ET → 9:38 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EYW?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LCK

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EYW

Weather at each end

LCK (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EYW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2868 · LCK → EYW

Odds over time

How late will it get to EYW?