G4 2876 · GSP → SFB

took off 9:25 AM ET · landed 10:33 AM ET (scheduled 9:19 AM ET → 10:55 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SFB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ GSP usually runs smoothly

↓ 9am departures from GSP are usually not late

Weather at each end

GSP (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.09 in

SFB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2876 · GSP → SFB

Odds over time

How late did it get to SFB?