Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2898
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 2898 · TYS → SFB
departs 6:54 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 1.33 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 7.33333 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.