Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2927
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 2927 · SFB → TYS
departs 4:27 PM ET · arrives 6:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.