Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2944
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 2944 · SFB → MDT
departs 12:59 PM ET · arrives 3:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MDT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MDT at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MDT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
MDT (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.