Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2946
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2946 · GUF → XNA
departs 4:57 PM CT · arrives 6:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at XNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to XNA?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at GUF that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
GUF usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
GUF (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.23 in
XNA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.