G4 2950 · DAY → SFB

departs 2:53 PM ET · arrives 5:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ DAY usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAY

Weather at each end

DAY (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2950 · DAY → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?