G4 2964 · SFB → CKB

departs 12:12 PM ET · arrives 2:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CKB more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CKB?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ 12pm departures from SFB are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ CKB usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

CKB (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2964 · SFB → CKB

Odds over time

How late will it get to CKB?