Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2965 · SFB → TRI
departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 2:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −22 pts in 24h
−22 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at TRI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TRI?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
TRI usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.30 in
TRI (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.