Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2975 · SRQ → AVL
departs 12:37 PM ET · arrives 2:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
12pm departures from SRQ are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AVL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.