Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2997
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 2997 · SRQ → CVG
departs 6:27 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.