Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 3008 · IAD → SRQ
departs 9:26 AM ET · arrives 11:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.9 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at IAD that day
↑
SRQ is prone to delays
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
9am departures from IAD are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.9 mi Precip 0.29 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.