Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 3026 · VPS → SDF
departs 3:18 PM CT · arrives 6:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SDF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.75 in
SDF (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.