Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3055 LANDED 10:18 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

G4 3055 · SFB → TYS

took off 9:06 AM ET · landed 10:18 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at TYS that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 9am departures from SFB are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.27 in

TYS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3055 · SFB → TYS

Odds over time