G4 3063 · TYS → SFB

departs 6:41 AM ET · arrives 8:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SFB at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.20 in

SFB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3063 · TYS → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?