G4 3095 · SGF → VPS

departs 3:48 PM CT · arrives 5:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to VPS?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 3.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

SGF (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

VPS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip3.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3095 · SGF → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?