Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 3106 · XNA → VPS
departs 9:36 PM CT · arrives 11:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 3.9 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at XNA that day
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 3.90 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.