G4 3114 · VPS → SGF

departs 1:02 PM CT · arrives 3:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 3.6 in of rain forecast at VPS that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

VPS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip2.34 in

SGF (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3114 · VPS → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?