Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3116
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 3116 · VPS → SGF
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 8:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.2 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 2.16 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 3,433 ft
Visibility 9.66667 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.