Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 3117 · XNA → VPS
departs 4:09 PM CT · arrives 5:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.2 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,433 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.