Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3173
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 3173 · FNT → PGD
departs 4:55 PM ET · arrives 7:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FNT
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FNT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.