G4 3187 · AZA → ATW

departs 3:42 PM MT · arrives 9:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from AZA are often late

↓ ATW usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3187 · AZA → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?