G4 3213 · AZA → PVU

departs 7:32 PM MT · arrives 10:11 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVU?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PVU at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU

↓ PVU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVU (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3213 · AZA → PVU

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVU?