Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3474 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

G4 3474 · FLL → TTN

departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 11:00 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TTN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TTN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TTN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3474 · FLL → TTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to TTN?