G4 349 · MDT → BNA

departs 10:04 AM ET · arrives 11:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at MDT that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ MDT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.03 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 349 · MDT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?