Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
G4 353 · BNA → IAD
departs 11:39 AM CT · arrives 2:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at IAD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BNA that day
↓
Arrivals into IAD at that hour are usually not late
↓
IAD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
IAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.