Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3723
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 3723 · LSE → SFB
departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave LSE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFB
↓
LSE usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LSE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 10,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.