Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 384 · SFB → CVG
departs 9:19 PM ET · arrives 11:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.