G4 395 · CVG → SFB

took off 12:45 PM ET · expected to land 2:24 PM ET (scheduled 12:44 PM ET → 3:00 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFB?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 395 · CVG → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?