G4 409 · MYR → ELM

departs 2:37 PM ET · arrives 4:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ELM more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ELM?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MYR that day

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ ELM usually runs smoothly

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip3.61 in

ELM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 409 · MYR → ELM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELM?