G4 446 · AUS → DSM

departs 7:46 PM CT · arrives 10:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

70% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.10 in

DSM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 446 · AUS → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?