Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
G4 462 · DSM → JAX
departs 3:59 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.