Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 524
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 524 · FLL → LEX
departs 11:51 AM ET · arrives 2:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/10 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.