G4 559 · GRR → PIE

took off 6:04 AM ET · landed 8:27 AM ET (scheduled 6:01 AM ET → 8:49 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ PIE is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

PIE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 559 · GRR → PIE

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIE?