Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 582 · PIE → GRR
departs 6:49 PM ET · arrives 9:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at GRR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to GRR?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
GRR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
GRR (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.