G4 595 · HTS → SFB

departs 6:13 PM ET · arrives 8:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day

↑ This flight has been late 56% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at HTS that day

Weather at each end

HTS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 595 · HTS → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?