G4 676 · AZA → SBN

departs 7:00 AM MT · arrives 1:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SBN?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 676 · AZA → SBN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBN?