Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 683 LANDED 7:45 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

G4 683 · IWA → RFD

took off 1:02 AM MSK · landed 7:45 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at RFD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into RFD at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IWA

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD

Weather at each end

IWA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

RFD (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 683 · IWA → RFD

Odds over time