G4 6 · LAS → IND

departs 2:20 PM PT · arrives 9:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 6 · LAS → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?