Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 859
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 859 · ATW → PGD
departs 6:13 PM CT · arrives 10:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
17%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.