Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 881
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
G4 881 · DSM → PGD
departs 5:54 PM CT · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DSM (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.